Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.196099 3.520750 3.872019 4.281634 4.747805 5.263731 5.880543
2025-10-12 2.770721 3.213792 3.726003 4.366883 5.154263 6.099158 7.332764
2025-10-19 2.502341 3.010941 3.627608 4.440403 5.498729 6.851720 8.748343
2025-10-26 2.305344 2.855501 3.548417 4.501238 5.803290 7.559972 10.180657
2025-11-02 2.140261 2.715519 3.463454 4.529628 6.048738 8.198035 11.590126
2025-11-09 1.950330 2.521707 3.283511 4.401244 6.048880 8.473552 12.486800
2025-11-16 1.811824 2.383314 3.163045 4.338119 6.126513 8.859002 13.596062
2025-11-23 1.705124 2.278997 3.078964 4.315276 6.254988 9.328130 14.904142
2025-11-30 1.654195 2.248178 3.095116 4.439597 6.619365 10.212667 17.072630
2025-12-07 1.567385 2.158681 3.017160 4.409777 6.728866 10.679569 18.552559
2025-12-14 1.482842 2.066558 2.927841 4.352557 6.783711 11.052827 19.909831
2025-12-21 1.377442 1.936875 2.772489 4.175466 6.614845 11.000465 20.392389
2025-12-28 1.328729 1.891697 2.747066 4.213556 6.832063 11.701340 22.621854
2026-01-04 1.291969 1.862567 2.744675 4.289733 7.125461 12.588635 25.460934
2026-01-11 1.256948 1.833706 2.740138 4.360718 7.415367 13.508399 28.592061
2026-01-18 1.222242 1.803029 2.730056 4.420062 7.688019 14.430424 31.959412
2026-01-25 1.184136 1.764525 2.704078 4.447791 7.900287 15.252500 35.282297
2026-02-01 1.121296 1.682369 2.599421 4.322329 7.789798 15.338770 36.597962
2026-02-08 1.074133 1.623766 2.531668 4.260633 7.804140 15.712455 38.841148
2026-02-15 1.036809 1.579727 2.486545 4.238306 7.898628 16.288265 41.857023
2026-02-22 1.025000 1.577918 2.515009 4.359811 8.315317 17.713829 48.030103
2026-03-01 0.990434 1.535593 2.468914 4.330669 8.395588 18.304514 51.609930
2026-03-08 0.953973 1.488391 2.411544 4.274745 8.409480 18.724688 54.731392